The alternative energy consultants tell us that the cross over from the petroleum-driven economy and society will not be a smooth one, on the whole. The number of new technologies and infrastructures that need to be designed and built is staggering - even as Germany achieves powering 10% of the entire nation through the usage of wind turbines and solar arrays, even as firm after corporation is springing up, helped by various governments' tax breaks and rebate offers, to drive forward the alternative energy mission. We have lain dormant on alternative energy on the grand scale for so long that we currently have to scramble to play catch-up as accessibility to cheap oil lurks ever closer to being a thing of the past.
Specialists on natural energy also tell us that we need multilateral, international efforts in concert with one another in the direction of getting away from the weighty-almost total-dependence on fossil fuels. They are poised to become too expensive, burning them is polluting the atmosphere, and digging for them is disrupting the organic and natural environment. We have about 30 years left of relatively cheap oil and gas - and consultants say that within 20 years over and above that point, we had better be at least 90% independent of them. Sadly, at the present time the world is mostly not acting as if this is the case. The thirst for oil is growing, not slaking, and it is increasing faster today than it did even in the 1970s.
One of the major problems of conversion, the specialists point out, is that higher oil and gas prices energize the economy (This in turn flies in the face of what many energy so-called "authorities" and many members of the public believe, but the fact is that oil and gas are found and manufactured and transported by huge corporations who make use of multitudes of staff workers and contractors; and from their huge profits their stocks remain highly profitable on Wall Street.). Natural, or "green" energy must become more marketplace friendly, more worthwhile to investors and would-be employers. Wall Street doesn't like change; so there is resistance to this much-needed economic transition. It is because of this that many consultants are saying that we need an international, governments-backed initiative put into place; we are told that we simply cannot expect the new economy to spring forth right away, all clean and polished and perfected, from the black cinders of the fossil fuel economy phoenix.
It is most important that the wealthy, big-production nations such as the US, Japan, Western Europe, and others be the ones to spearhead the efforts to get off of the fossil fuel dependence. Smaller, poorer nations are very simply never going to achieve the amount of energy production through coal and oil that these countries have - for by the time they would be equipped to, the cheap accessibility to the fossil fuels will be gone, and they will simply never be able to sustain their newly-risen civilizations at that time as we have been able to do. The time for transition from black to green is now.
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